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Adapting Urban Land Use in a Time of Climate Change; Optimising Future Land-Use Patterns to Decrease Flood Risks

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Book cover Carbon Sequestration in Urban Ecosystems

Abstract

It is increasingly acknowledged that a careful planning of urban areas is needed to cope with the negative effects of future climate changes. The planning process calls for finding a balance between various ecosystem services, such as, water and air purification, the regulation of rainfall, the preservation of natural and cultural values, increased flood risk, while at the same time providing ample space for societal demands in relation to residences, employment and recreation. In this paper we focus on the possibilities of adapting land in urban areas in such a way that possible negative effects of climate change, in particular flooding, are reduced as much as possible. We will illustrate this with a case-study in the Netherlands, using a GIS-based land-use simulation model in combination with a flood damage assessment module. This combination of tools is applied in a regional planning context to optimise land-use patterns taking into account flood risk and other water management issues.

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Notes

  1. 1.

    The Netherlands Bureau for Economic Policy Analysis (CPB) and the ABF Research company have provided the expected amount of residential development (ABF 2006; CPB et al. 2006). CPB has delivered the demand for industrial and commercial land and office space (CPB 2002; CPB et al. 2006) and the Agricultural Economics Research Institute (LEI) the projections for agricultural land-use changes (Helming 2005).

  2. 2.

    Together with other risk maps the flood risk map is available from the portal: www.risicokaart.nl.

  3. 3.

    For more details on the HIS damage module and the procedure deriving the damage functions for the Damage Scanner, the reader is referred to other sources (Huizinga et al. 2004; Klijn et al. 2007; Van der Hoeven et al. 2009).

Abbreviations

GHG:

greenhouse gas

HIS:

high water information system

IWM:

integrated water management

UNDP:

United Nations development plan

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Acknowledgements

This research was carried out in the framework of the Dutch National Research Programme “Climate changes Spatial Planning” (www.klimaatvoorruimte.nl). The Netherlands Environmental Assessment Agency (PBL) is thanked for providing the Land Use Scanner model and its initial configuration.

Furthermore, we would like to thank the editor, Rattan Lal for his useful comments.

Author information

Authors and Affiliations

  1. Department of Spatial Economics, VU University Amsterdam, De Boelelaan 1005, 1081 HV, Amsterdam, The Netherlands

    Eveline van Leeuwen

  2. SPINlab, VU University Amsterdam, De Boelelaan 1005, 1081 HV, Amsterdam, The Netherlands

    Eric Koomen

Authors
  1. Eveline van Leeuwen
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  2. Eric Koomen
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Corresponding author

Correspondence to Eveline van Leeuwen .

Editor information

Editors and Affiliations

  1. OARDC, Carbon Management &, Ohio State University, Coffey Road 2021, Columbus, 43210, Ohio, USA

    Rattan Lal

  2. The Scotts Miracle-Gro Company, Scottslawn Road 14111, Marysville, 43041, Ohio, USA

    Bruce Augustin

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van Leeuwen, E., Koomen, E. (2012). Adapting Urban Land Use in a Time of Climate Change; Optimising Future Land-Use Patterns to Decrease Flood Risks. In: Lal, R., Augustin, B. (eds) Carbon Sequestration in Urban Ecosystems. Springer, Dordrecht. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-94-007-2366-5_2

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